Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Todi, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 August 2025, Thursday


	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer		Valentin Vacherot

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.01	1.72	Watch
	2	1.86
	1.99	1.78	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
			Watch
	1.86	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.86)	1.75 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
46.6%

Valentin Vacherot
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valentin Vacherot, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Valentin Vacherot Predictions

Users Predictions: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer will win (36 of 36 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nicolai Budkov Kjaer will win (28 of 28 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 163. Vacherot is ranked ATP: 246.

Budkov Kjaer has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Vacherot has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Valentin Vacherot - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Challenger
13.08.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	Pucinelli de Almeida M. retired ✺
11.08.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Juan Bautista Torres	2:1 ✺
03.08.25	Alexandr Binda - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Shintaro Imai - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
01.08.25	Richard Berankis - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 ?WWWW
- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Challenger
13.08.25	Francesco Forti - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Maxim Mrva - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Valentin Vacherot - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	Michiel De Krom - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
01.08.25	Daniel Michalski - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWL

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