Match Info

Date: 14 September 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Nicolas Alvarez Varona		Beibit Zhukayev

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Nicolas Alvarez Varona
56.3%

Beibit Zhukayev
43.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Beibit Zhukayev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beibit Zhukayev than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Recent matches Alvarez Varona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zhukayev is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Zhukayev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
12.09.22	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Aldin Setkic	2:0 ✺
05.09.22	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Riccardo Bonadio	0:2 ✺
30.08.22	Antoine Bellier - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1 ✺
25.08.22	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Kimmer Coppejans	0:2 ✺
23.08.22	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Hernan Casanova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLLW
- Beibit Zhukayev
ATP Challenger
13.09.22	Beibit Zhukayev - Cengiz Aksu	2:0 ✺
12.09.22	Beibit Zhukayev - Dan Alexandru Tomescu	2:0 ✺
11.09.22	Beibit Zhukayev - Rishab Agarwal	2:1 ✺
07.09.22	Yosuke Watanuki - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
05.09.22	Beibit Zhukayev - Evgeny Donskoy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWLW

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Beibit Zhukayev