Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santo Domingo (Dominican Republic), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Santo Domingo (Dominican Republic) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Nicolas Arseneault		Blu Baker

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Nicolas Arseneault
56%

Blu Baker
44%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Arseneault has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Arseneault's performance.

Blu Baker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blu Baker might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Arseneault than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blu Baker than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

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Arseneault is ranked ATP: 1082. Baker is ranked ATP: 1255.

Arseneault is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Baker is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arseneault could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Arseneault
ITF Tournaments
20.03.25	Peter Bertran - Nicolas Arseneault	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Nicolas Arseneault - Gilbert Soares Klier Junior	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Nicolas Arseneault - Alex Rybakov	0:2 ✺
13.03.25	Dan Martin - Nicolas Arseneault	1:2 ✺
11.03.25	Mikael Arseneault - Nicolas Arseneault	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWLWW
- Blu Baker
ITF Tournaments
20.03.25	Mikael Arseneault - Blu Baker	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Blu Baker - Roberto Cid Subervi	2:1 ✺
20.02.25	Blu Baker - Felix Corwin	0:2 ✺
19.02.25	Tristan McCormick - Blu Baker	1:2 ✺
30.01.25	Blu Baker - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWLWL

Nicolas Arseneault - Blu Baker