Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Naples, FL 4 (USA), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 February 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Naples 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Tristan McCormick		Blu Baker

	1	2
	1.36	2.98	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.37	2.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.37)	2.96 ↓ (2.99)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan McCormick
68.4%

Blu Baker
31.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan McCormick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Blu Baker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan McCormick than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blu Baker than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Tristan McCormick - Blu Baker Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. McCormick will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Baker will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baker: 68.4% – 100%.

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Preview

McCormick is ranked ATP: 673. Baker is ranked ATP: 1311.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Baker could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match McCormick is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches McCormick won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan McCormick
ITF Tournaments
12.02.25	Garrett Johns - Tristan McCormick	2:1 ✺
05.02.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Tristan McCormick	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.01.25	Antoine Ghibaudo - Tristan McCormick	2:0 ✺
27.01.25	Tristan McCormick - Pranav Kumar	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	Tristan McCormick - Jaden Weekes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWW
- Blu Baker
ITF Tournaments
30.01.25	Blu Baker - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
29.01.25	Oren Vasser - Blu Baker	1:2 ✺
17.01.25	Blu Baker - Rafael De Alba	1:2 ✺
16.01.25	Tristan McCormick - Blu Baker	Baker B. walkover ✺
15.01.25	James Wilkinson - Blu Baker	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWL?W

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.01.25	Tristan McCormick - Blu Baker	Baker B. walkover
ATP Challenger
23.04.23	Blu Baker - Tristan McCormick	2:0

Tristan McCormick - Blu Baker