Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sioux Falls - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday


	Nicolas Arseneault		Erik Arutiunian

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.55	2.26	Watch
	1.6	2.26	Watch
	1.56	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.62)	2.28 ↑ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Arseneault
59.2%

Erik Arutiunian
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Arseneault has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Erik Arutiunian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Arseneault than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erik Arutiunian than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Nicolas Arseneault - Erik Arutiunian Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arseneault is ranked ATP: 514. Arutiunian is ranked ATP: 549.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Arutiunian may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Arseneault is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Erik Arutiunian - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.43%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Arseneault
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Nicolas Arseneault - Kyle Seelig	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Martin Damm - Nicolas Arseneault	2:1 ✺
13.10.25	Nicolas Arseneault - Strong Kirchheimer	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Nicolas Arseneault - Ozan Baris	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Nikita Filin - Nicolas Arseneault	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWWL
- Erik Arutiunian
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Dante Carlos Teramo - Erik Arutiunian	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Max Wiskandt - Erik Arutiunian	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Colson Wells - Erik Arutiunian	0:2 ✺
22.09.25	Erik Arutiunian - Darian King	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Erik Arutiunian	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLW

Nicolas Arseneault - Erik Arutiunian: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide