Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Las Vegas - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday


	Ryuki Matsuda		Erik Arutiunian

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.28	1.58	Watch
	2.23	1.61	Watch
	2.22	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.22)	1.59 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryuki Matsuda
41.4%

Erik Arutiunian
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryuki Matsuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Erik Arutiunian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryuki Matsuda than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erik Arutiunian than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Ryuki Matsuda - Erik Arutiunian Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Matsuda is ranked ATP: 473. Arutiunian is ranked ATP: 567.

Matsuda has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Arutiunian has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Matsuda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Arutiunian could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Matsuda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Ryuki Matsuda - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 40.96%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryuki Matsuda
ATP Challenger
14.09.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Bryce Nakashima	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Aidan Kim - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Yaojie Zeng - Ryuki Matsuda	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.08.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Yuki Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
28.08.25	Yan Cheng Chen - Ryuki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLW
- Erik Arutiunian
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Antoine Ghibaudo - Erik Arutiunian	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Joshua Sheehy - Erik Arutiunian	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.08.25	Erik Arutiunian - Petr Bar-Biryukov	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Maxim Zhukov - Erik Arutiunian	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	Tuncay Duran - Erik Arutiunian	Duran T. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.05.24	Ryuki Matsuda - Erik Arutiunian	2:0

Ryuki Matsuda - Erik Arutiunian: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide