Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday


	Nicolas Arseneault		Keegan Rice

	1	2
	2.45	1.48
	2.5	1.46
	2.65	1.5
	2.44	1.49	Watch
	2.6	1.48
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.5	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.35)	1.48 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Arseneault
37%

Keegan Rice
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Arseneault has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Keegan Rice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Arseneault than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Rice than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Nicolas Arseneault - Keegan Rice Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Arseneault will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Rice will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arseneault is ranked ATP: 780. Rice is ranked ATP: 1262.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Rice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rice will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Arseneault
ATP Challenger
15.07.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Nicolas Arseneault	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Nicolas Arseneault - Andres Martin	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.07.26	Liam Draxl - Nicolas Arseneault	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Nicolas Arseneault - Benjamin Willwerth	2:1 ✺
18.06.26	Nicolas Arseneault - Christian Langmo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLWL
- Keegan Rice
ATP Challenger
16.07.26	Keegan Rice - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Sasha Rozin - Keegan Rice	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.07.26	Keegan Rice - Kenta Miyoshi	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Keegan Rice - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	2:0 ✺
10.07.26	Liam Draxl - Keegan Rice	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LWLWW

Nicolas Arseneault - Keegan Rice: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide