Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BUENOS AIRES (ARGENTINA), CLAY - FINAL

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2, O2 TV Tenis
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Poland	Polsat Sport News
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Nicolas Jarry		Facundo Diaz Acosta

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.85	Watch
	1.45	2.8	Watch
	1.47	2.9
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.78	Watch
	1.46	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.7)	2.8 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Jarry
65.9%

Facundo Diaz Acosta
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Jarry's performance.

Facundo Diaz Acosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Facundo Diaz Acosta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Jarry that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Facundo Diaz Acosta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Nicolas Jarry - Facundo Diaz Acosta Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Jarry will win (votes: 30 - 76.9%). Diaz Acosta will win (votes: 9 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jarry: 63.7% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Diaz Acosta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Jarry will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Jarry won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Buenos Aires
17.02.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
16.02.24	Nicolas Jarry - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	Etcheverry T. M. retired ✺
14.02.24	Nicolas Jarry - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
04.02.24	Nicolas Jarry - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Nicolas Jarry - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 W?WWL
- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Buenos Aires
17.02.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
16.02.24	Dusan Lajovic - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
14.02.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
12.02.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
ATP Cordoba
09.02.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
23.08.22	Nicolas Jarry - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1
ATP Challenger
30.06.22	Nicolas Jarry - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1
07.10.21	Nicolas Jarry - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1

Nicolas Jarry - Facundo Diaz Acosta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide