Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Dusan Lajovic		Facundo Diaz Acosta

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.92	1.79
	1.96	1.8	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2	1.83	Watch
	1.96	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.65)	1.78 ↓ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dusan Lajovic
47.4%

Facundo Diaz Acosta
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dusan Lajovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dusan Lajovic's form might have worsened.

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Facundo Diaz Acosta's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Dusan Lajovic - Facundo Diaz Acosta Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Dusan Lajovic will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dusan Lajovic will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lajovic is ranked ATP: 125. Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 210.

Diaz Acosta's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Diaz Acosta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lajovic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Facundo Diaz Acosta - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 43.19%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dusan Lajovic
ATP Challenger
08.01.26	Dusan Lajovic - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Dusan Lajovic - Justin Engel	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Dusan Lajovic - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Dusan Lajovic - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Dusan Lajovic - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWLL
- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
07.01.26	Arthur Gea - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Louis Dussin	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Federico Agustin Gomez	1:2 ✺
27.11.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:0 ✺
25.11.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Benjamin Torrealba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Buenos Aires
16.02.24	Dusan Lajovic - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2

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