Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Calgary (Canada), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 October 2024, Wednesday


	Nicolas Mejia		Ernesto Escobedo

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.06	1.68	Watch
	2.25	1.67
	2.13	1.67	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.11	1.68	Watch
	2.06	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.06)	1.68 ↓ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Mejia
44.5%

Ernesto Escobedo
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Ernesto Escobedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ernesto Escobedo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Nicolas Mejia - Ernesto Escobedo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mejia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Escobedo will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mejia is ranked ATP: 227. Escobedo is ranked ATP: 453.

Recent matches Mejia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Escobedo is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Escobedo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Escobedo to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mejia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
15.10.24	Nicolas Mejia - Bruno Kuzuhara	2:0 ✺
07.10.24	Toby Alex Kodat - Nicolas Mejia	2:1 ✺
03.10.24	Nicolas Mejia - Jeffrey John Wolf	1:2 ✺
01.10.24	Nicolas Mejia - Christian Langmo	2:1 ✺
30.09.24	Nicolas Mejia - Kyle Kang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWW
- Ernesto Escobedo
ATP Challenger
14.10.24	Kiranpal Pannu - Ernesto Escobedo	0:2 ✺
25.09.24	Ernesto Escobedo - Learner Tien	Tien L. walkover ✺
24.09.24	Ernesto Escobedo - Govind Nanda	2:0 ✺
23.09.24	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Ernesto Escobedo	0:2 ✺
22.09.24	Patrick Maloney - Ernesto Escobedo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 W?WWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.06.24	Nicolas Mejia - Ernesto Escobedo	1:2
26.03.24	Ernesto Escobedo - Nicolas Mejia	1:2

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