Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Canberra - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Canberra 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Nicolas Mejia		Hady Habib

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.65
	2	1.7	Watch
	2.11	1.66	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.08	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.68)	1.68 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Mejia
45.1%

Hady Habib
54.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Mejia's form might have worsened.

Hady Habib has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hady Habib's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Mejia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hady Habib than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hady Habib, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nicolas Mejia - Hady Habib Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mejia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mejia is ranked ATP: 170. Habib is ranked ATP: 245.

Mejia has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Habib has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Mejia will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mejia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Nicolas Mejia - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.5%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
30.11.25	Juan Sebastian Gomez - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
29.11.25	Facundo Mena - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
28.11.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
27.11.25	Alex Martinez - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
25.11.25	Sebastian Gima - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWW
- Hady Habib
ATP Challenger
25.11.25	Lucio Ratti - Hady Habib	2:1 ✺
21.11.25	Hady Habib - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2 ✺
19.11.25	Hady Habib - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Hady Habib - Salvador Price	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Hady Habib - Stefan Kozlov	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.08.22	Hady Habib - Nicolas Mejia	0:2

Nicolas Mejia - Hady Habib: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide