Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bogota 4, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday


	Sebastian Gima		Nicolas Mejia

	1	2
	4	1.22	Watch
	3.75	1.23
	3.88	1.27
	2.78	1.38	Watch
	3.74	1.23	Watch
	3.5	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (2.75)	1.27 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Gima
26%

Nicolas Mejia
74%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Gima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Gima's form might have worsened.

Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Mejia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Gima than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Gima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Mejia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Sebastian Gima - Nicolas Mejia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mejia will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nicolas Mejia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gima is ranked ATP: 561. Mejia is ranked ATP: 212.

Gima has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mejia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mejia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mejia is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Nicolas Mejia - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.27%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Gima
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Andres Andrade - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
17.11.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Sebastian Gima	Canceled
ITF Tournaments
15.11.25	Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros - Sebastian Gima	2:1 ✺
13.11.25	Sebastian Gima - Kyle Seelig	2:1 ✺
12.11.25	Sebastian Gima - Alan Sau Franco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 L?LWW
- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
11.11.25	Nicolas Mejia - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	0:2 ✺
06.11.25	Nicolas Mejia - Murphy Cassone	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Nicolas Mejia - Aristotelis Thanos	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Oliver Tarvet - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Juan Bautista Torres - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLL

Sebastian Gima - Nicolas Mejia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide