Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon - Qualification, grass - Final

Date: 25 June 2026, Thursday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)


	Nicolas Mejia		Tristan Schoolkate

	1	2
	3.50	1.29
	3.50	1.28
	3.65	1.27
	3.70	1.32
	3.82	1.25	Watch
	3.40	1.30
	3.63	1.30	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (2.76)	1.29 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 38.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Mejia
26.3%

Tristan Schoolkate
73.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Mejia's form might have worsened.

Tristan Schoolkate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tristan Schoolkate's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Mejia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tristan Schoolkate, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Nicolas Mejia - Tristan Schoolkate Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Mejia will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Schoolkate will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schoolkate: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Schoolkate (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Mejia is ranked ATP: 168. Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 147.

Recent performances by Mejia have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Schoolkate is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Schoolkate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Schoolkate is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mejia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Tristan Schoolkate - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 66.19%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Nicolas Mejia - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.06.26	Yi Zhou - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
03.06.26	Karl Poling - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLWL
- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Daniel Evans - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
22.06.26	Johannus Monday - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.06.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Oliver Tarvet	0:2 ✺
10.06.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Paul Jubb	2:1 ✺
08.06.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Lloyd Harris	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.04.26	Nicolas Mejia - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0
ATP Winston-Salem
18.08.24	Tristan Schoolkate - Nicolas Mejia	2:0

Nicolas Mejia - Tristan Schoolkate: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide