Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelos (Mexico), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 April 2024, Friday

Referee: Maia R. (Bra)


	Nicolas Mejia		Vasek Pospisil

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.87	1.83
	1.9	1.82	Watch
	1.97	1.89
	1.97	1.89
	1.8	1.91
	1.86	1.86	Watch
	1.9	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.68)	1.87 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nicolas Mejia
49.9%

Vasek Pospisil
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Mejia's form might have worsened.

Vasek Pospisil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vasek Pospisil's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Mejia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasek Pospisil than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vasek Pospisil, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	0%	89.5%

Nicolas Mejia - Vasek Pospisil Predictions

Users Predictions: Vasek Pospisil will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Mejia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Pospisil is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pospisil could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
10.04.24	Nicolas Mejia - Dominik Palan	2:0 ✺
09.04.24	Zachary Svajda - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
08.04.24	Nicolas Mejia - Ryan Seggerman	2:1 ✺
07.04.24	Nicolas Mejia - Manuel Sanchez	2:0 ✺
04.04.24	Nicolas Mejia - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWL
- Vasek Pospisil
ATP Challenger
10.04.24	Tristan Schoolkate - Vasek Pospisil	1:2 ✺
08.04.24	Vasek Pospisil - Gijs Brouwer	2:0 ✺
01.04.24	Alessandro Giannessi - Vasek Pospisil	2:1 ✺
27.03.24	Vasek Pospisil - Denis Kudla	0:2 ✺
25.03.24	Omar Jasika - Vasek Pospisil	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLLW

Upcoming Matches