Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelos (Mexico), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 April 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Munno F. (Bra)


	Zachary Svajda		Nicolas Mejia

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.4	2.7
	1.42	2.7
	1.44	2.85
	1.44	2.85
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.37	2.96	Watch
	1.36	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.35)	2.87 ↓ (3.08)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zachary Svajda
67.3%

Nicolas Mejia
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zachary Svajda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Zachary Svajda - Nicolas Mejia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Svajda is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mejia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mejia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Svajda is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Svajda won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zachary Svajda
ATP Miami
18.03.24	Zachary Svajda - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.03.24	Zachary Svajda - Terence Atmane	1:2 ✺
13.03.24	Mitchell Krueger - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
12.03.24	Elias Ymer - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
11.03.24	Andrey Kuznetsov - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWWW
- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
08.04.24	Nicolas Mejia - Ryan Seggerman	2:1 ✺
07.04.24	Nicolas Mejia - Manuel Sanchez	2:0 ✺
04.04.24	Nicolas Mejia - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
02.04.24	Giovanni Fonio - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
31.03.24	Nicolas Mejia - Matias Soto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.02.23	Zachary Svajda - Nicolas Mejia	0:2
31.05.22	Zachary Svajda - Nicolas Mejia	1:2
ITF Tournaments
04.11.20	Nicolas Mejia - Zachary Svajda	Svajda Z. retired

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