Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 7, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday


	Nicolas Parizzia		Gabriele Pennaforti

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.95
	1.81	1.88
	1.77	2.07
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.75	2.04
	1.70	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.98)	1.96 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Parizzia
52.6%

Gabriele Pennaforti
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Parizzia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Parizzia's performance.

Gabriele Pennaforti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gabriele Pennaforti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Parizzia than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriele Pennaforti than the current prediction. (+5%)

Nicolas Parizzia - Gabriele Pennaforti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Parizzia is ranked ATP: 1031. Pennaforti is ranked ATP: 1012.

Recent form of Parizzia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pennaforti has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pennaforti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Parizzia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Parizzia
ITF Tournaments
09.09.26	Rafael Kis Balazs - Nicolas Parizzia	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.08.26	Nicolas Parizzia - Benjamin Hassan	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Nicolas Parizzia - Theo Papamalamis	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.08.26	Nicolas Parizzia - Dimitris Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Nicolas Parizzia - Tymur Bieldiugin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW
- Gabriele Pennaforti
ITF Tournaments
19.08.26	Thilo Behrmann - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	George Lazarov - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
03.08.26	Gabriele Pennaforti - Peter Buldorini	Pennaforti G. Retired ✺
29.07.26	Gabriele Crivellaro - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Gabriele Pennaforti - Giacomo Crisostomo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LL?LW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
17.07.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Nicolas Parizzia	2:0

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