Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday


	George Lazarov		Gabriele Pennaforti

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.54
	1.55	2.25
	1.44	2.82
	1.43	2.58
	1.42	2.75
	1.44	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.69)	2.59 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

George Lazarov
64%

Gabriele Pennaforti
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

George Lazarov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in George Lazarov's performance.

Gabriele Pennaforti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gabriele Pennaforti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for George Lazarov than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with George Lazarov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriele Pennaforti than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gabriele Pennaforti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

George Lazarov - Gabriele Pennaforti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lazarov is ranked ATP: 1112. Pennaforti is ranked ATP: 790.

Lazarov is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Pennaforti has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pennaforti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lazarov could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- George Lazarov
ATP Challenger
07.08.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - George Lazarov	2:0 ✺
05.08.26	George Lazarov - Yanaki Milev	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - George Lazarov	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	George Lazarov - Dominik Kellovsky	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Daniele Rapagnetta - George Lazarov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWWWW
- Gabriele Pennaforti
ITF Tournaments
03.08.26	Gabriele Pennaforti - Peter Buldorini	Pennaforti G. Retired ✺
29.07.26	Gabriele Crivellaro - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Gabriele Pennaforti - Giacomo Crisostomo	2:0 ✺
16.07.26	Pietro Marino - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	David Eichenseher - Gabriele Pennaforti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 ?LWLW

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