Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 23, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 June 2025, Wednesday


	Nicolas Tepmahc		Yanki Erel

	1	2
	2.99	1.37	Watch
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (3.23)	1.39 ↑ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Tepmahc
32.5%

Yanki Erel
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

72.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Tepmahc has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Yanki Erel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Tepmahc than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Tepmahc that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanki Erel than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yanki Erel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nicolas Tepmahc - Yanki Erel Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Tepmahc (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tepmahc (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Tepmahc is ranked ATP: 945. Erel is ranked ATP: 595.

Recent performances by Tepmahc have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Erel is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tepmahc may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Erel is a strong favorite.

We predict that Erel will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tepmahc won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Tepmahc
ITF Tournaments
06.06.25	Nicolas Tepmahc - Yanki Erel	1:2 ✺
05.06.25	Jules Leroux - Nicolas Tepmahc	0:2 ✺
03.06.25	Samuele Seghetti - Nicolas Tepmahc	0:2 ✺
29.05.25	Nicolas Tepmahc - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
07.05.25	Miles Jones - Nicolas Tepmahc	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWWLL
- Yanki Erel
ITF Tournaments
08.06.25	Leonardo Rossi - Yanki Erel	2:1 ✺
07.06.25	Nicolas Jadoun - Yanki Erel	0:2 ✺
06.06.25	Nicolas Tepmahc - Yanki Erel	1:2 ✺
05.06.25	Marcus Walters - Yanki Erel	1:2 ✺
04.06.25	Sam Ryan Ziegann - Yanki Erel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.06.25	Nicolas Tepmahc - Yanki Erel	1:2

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