Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Melilla, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday


	Nicolo Toffanin		Esteban Talavera Cortes

	1	2
	1.72	1.98
	1.83	1.86
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.76	1.99
	1.75	1.90	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.76)	1.94 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolo Toffanin
52.5%

Esteban Talavera Cortes
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolo Toffanin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Esteban Talavera Cortes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolo Toffanin than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteban Talavera Cortes than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Nicolo Toffanin - Esteban Talavera Cortes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Toffanin is ranked ATP: 1197. Talavera Cortes is ranked ATP: 1571.

Recent performances by Toffanin have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Talavera Cortes has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Toffanin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Toffanin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolo Toffanin
ITF Tournaments
09.09.26	Nicolo Toffanin - Jack Loge	0:2 ✺
27.08.26	Samuele Pieri - Nicolo Toffanin	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Vaal Urankar - Nicolo Toffanin	1:2 ✺
20.08.26	Nicolo Toffanin - Gabriele Maria Noce	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Nicolo Toffanin - Paul Schmid	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLW
- Esteban Talavera Cortes
ITF Tournaments
01.09.26	Kristijan Juhas - Esteban Talavera Cortes	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Esteban Talavera Cortes - Andrea Motta	1:2 ✺
20.08.26	Esteban Talavera Cortes - Stefan Horia Haita	1:2 ✺
18.08.26	Oscar Brown - Esteban Talavera Cortes	1:2 ✺
29.07.26	Esteban Talavera Cortes - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
17.09.25	Esteban Talavera Cortes - Nicolo Toffanin	0:2

Nicolo Toffanin - Esteban Talavera Cortes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide