Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday


	Niels McDonald		Ergi Kirkin

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.2	1.69
	2.17	1.6	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.16	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.16)	1.63 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niels McDonald
42.9%

Ergi Kirkin
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niels McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Ergi Kirkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niels McDonald than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Niels McDonald, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ergi Kirkin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Niels McDonald - Ergi Kirkin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

McDonald is ranked ATP: 1034. Kirkin is ranked ATP: 581.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Kirkin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kirkin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Ergi Kirkin - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 57.6%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niels McDonald
ITF Tournaments
31.03.26	Niels McDonald - Francesco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.03.26	Hynek Barton - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Yanki Erel - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.02.26	Paul Jubb - Niels McDonald	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Karol Filar - Niels McDonald	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLW
- Ergi Kirkin
ITF Tournaments
30.03.26	Giannicola Misasi - Ergi Kirkin	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Ergi Kirkin - Sandro Kopp	0:2 ✺
23.03.26	Dusan Obradovic - Ergi Kirkin	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Matyas Cerny - Ergi Kirkin	1:2 ✺
16.03.26	Laurent Lokoli - Ergi Kirkin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWL

Niels McDonald - Ergi Kirkin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide