Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Oberhaching, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday


	Karol Filar		Niels McDonald

	1	2
	2.2	1.68
	2.08	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.1	1.66	Watch
	2.08	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.83)	1.66 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Karol Filar
44%

Niels McDonald
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karol Filar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karol Filar's form might have worsened.

Niels McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Niels McDonald's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karol Filar than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niels McDonald than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Karol Filar - Niels McDonald Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Filar is ranked ATP: 625. McDonald is ranked ATP: 1063.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Filar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Karol Filar - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karol Filar
ITF Tournaments
11.02.26	Oleksii Krutykh - Karol Filar	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
08.02.26	Michael Bassem Sobhy - Karol Filar	Canceled ✺
07.02.26	Faris Zakaryia - Karol Filar	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.01.26	Karol Filar - Sydney Zick	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	Vincent Reisach - Karol Filar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 W?WLW
- Niels McDonald
ITF Tournaments
10.02.26	Niels McDonald - James Story	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.02.26	Max Wiskandt - Niels McDonald	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.01.26	Marko Miladinovic - Niels McDonald	2:1 ✺
14.01.26	Niels McDonald - Maximilian Neuchrist	Neuchrist M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLL?

Karol Filar - Niels McDonald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide