Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Oberhaching, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday


	Nikolai Barsukov		Filippo Romano

	1	2
	2.04	1.78
	1.99	1.71	Watch
	2	1.73
	1.95	1.74	Watch
	1.95	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.42)	1.74 ↑ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikolai Barsukov
46.7%

Filippo Romano
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikolai Barsukov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nikolai Barsukov's performance.

Filippo Romano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Filippo Romano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikolai Barsukov than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nikolai Barsukov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Filippo Romano than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Filippo Romano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nikolai Barsukov - Filippo Romano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barsukov is ranked ATP: 915. Romano is ranked ATP: 560.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Romano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Romano will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikolai Barsukov
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Nikolai Barsukov - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Nikolai Barsukov - Sanhui Shin	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Federico Agustin Gomez - Nikolai Barsukov	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Nikolai Barsukov	2:0 ✺
19.01.26	Nikolai Barsukov - Luka Mikrut	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 LWWLW
- Filippo Romano
ATP Challenger
07.02.26	Raul Brancaccio - Filippo Romano	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	Filippo Romano - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Charles Broom - Filippo Romano	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	Alex Martinez - Filippo Romano	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.01.26	Tom Gentzsch - Filippo Romano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWWL

Nikolai Barsukov - Filippo Romano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide