Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Offenbach, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Offenbach 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Nikolai Barsukov		Fons Van Sambeek

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Nikolai Barsukov
59.7%

Fons Van Sambeek
40.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikolai Barsukov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Fons Van Sambeek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikolai Barsukov than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fons Van Sambeek than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Barsukov is ranked ATP: 1210. Van Sambeek is ranked ATP: 2061.

Recent form of Barsukov has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Van Sambeek's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Barsukov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikolai Barsukov
ITF Tournaments
24.09.25	Nikolai Barsukov - Luca Wiedenmann	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Nikolai Barsukov - Amir Omarkhanov	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.25	Nikolai Barsukov - Benito Sanchez Martinez	0:2 ✺
17.08.25	Andrea Guerrieri - Nikolai Barsukov	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.08.25	Sebastian Fanselow - Nikolai Barsukov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWL
- Fons Van Sambeek
ITF Tournaments
10.10.25	Johan Nikles - Fons Van Sambeek	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Fons Van Sambeek - Joao Victor Couto Loureiro	2:1 ✺
08.10.25	Fons Van Sambeek - Makoto Ochi	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Finn Murgett - Fons Van Sambeek	Canceled ✺
14.08.25	Fons Van Sambeek - Hamish Stewart	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWW?L

Nikolai Barsukov - Fons Van Sambeek