Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Augsburg - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday


	Andrea Guerrieri		Nikolai Barsukov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.3	3.1	Watch
			Watch
	1.28	3.28	Watch
			Watch
	1.3	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.84)	3.28 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Guerrieri
71.7%

Nikolai Barsukov
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Guerrieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrea Guerrieri's performance.

Nikolai Barsukov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nikolai Barsukov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Guerrieri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikolai Barsukov than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nikolai Barsukov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 550. Barsukov is ranked ATP: 1554.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Barsukov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Andrea Guerrieri - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Guerrieri
ATP Challenger
12.08.25	Andrea Guerrieri - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
11.08.25	Andrea Guerrieri - Filippo Romano	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Andrea Guerrieri - Giorgio Tabacco	2:0 ✺
04.08.25	Nicolas Kicker - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0 ✺
03.08.25	Andrea Guerrieri - Kirill Kivattsev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLW
- Nikolai Barsukov
ITF Tournaments
14.08.25	Sebastian Fanselow - Nikolai Barsukov	2:1 ✺
12.08.25	Nikolai Barsukov - Maximilian Homberg	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	Adrian Oetzbach - Nikolai Barsukov	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	Nicolas Zanellato - Nikolai Barsukov	0:2 ✺
31.07.25	Nikolai Barsukov - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLWL

Andrea Guerrieri - Nikolai Barsukov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide