Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Trier, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday


	Nikolai Barsukov		Maximilian Homberg

	1	2
	2.25	1.55
	2.25	1.59
	2.34	1.52	Watch
	2.25	1.57
			Watch
	2.62	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.62)	1.53 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikolai Barsukov
39.6%

Maximilian Homberg
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikolai Barsukov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Maximilian Homberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikolai Barsukov than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nikolai Barsukov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maximilian Homberg than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maximilian Homberg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nikolai Barsukov - Maximilian Homberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barsukov is ranked ATP: 1554. Homberg is ranked ATP: 870.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Homberg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barsukov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikolai Barsukov
ITF Tournaments
08.08.25	Adrian Oetzbach - Nikolai Barsukov	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	Nicolas Zanellato - Nikolai Barsukov	0:2 ✺
31.07.25	Nikolai Barsukov - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Nikolai Barsukov - Yannik Kelm	2:1 ✺
17.07.25	Nikolai Barsukov - Maximilian Homberg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWLWW
- Maximilian Homberg
ITF Tournaments
31.07.25	Maximilian Homberg - Daniel Dutra da Silva	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Juan Bautista Torres - Maximilian Homberg	0:2 ✺
17.07.25	Nikolai Barsukov - Maximilian Homberg	2:1 ✺
10.07.25	Stefano DAgostino - Maximilian Homberg	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Maximilian Homberg - Nico Hipfl	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
17.07.25	Nikolai Barsukov - Maximilian Homberg	2:1

Nikolai Barsukov - Maximilian Homberg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide