Match Info

Date: 1 March 2021, Monday


	Nikoloz Basilashvili		Cameron Norrie

	1	2
	4	1.22	Watch
	4.1	1.22
	4.1	1.24	Watch
	4.3	1.2
	4.83	1.22
	4.2	1.22	Watch
	4.65	1.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (2.98)	1.22 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikoloz Basilashvili
22%

Cameron Norrie
78%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikoloz Basilashvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nikoloz Basilashvili's form might have worsened.

Cameron Norrie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cameron Norrie's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nikoloz Basilashvili, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cameron Norrie, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.8%	0%	87.2%

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Cameron Norrie Predictions

Users Predictions: Cameron Norrie will win (41 of 47 users predict this - 87.23%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.69% – 96.77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Basilashvili is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Norrie is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Basilashvili could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Norrie is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Montpellier
24.02.21	Gregoire Barrere - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
08.02.21	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Tommy Paul	0:3 ✺
ATP Melbourne Great Ocean Road Open
03.02.21	Mario Vilella Martinez - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
ATP Antalya
11.01.21	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
09.01.21	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Altug Celikbilek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW
- Cameron Norrie
ATP Rotterdam
28.02.21	Cameron Norrie - Andreas Seppi	2:0 ✺
27.02.21	Cameron Norrie - Miliaan Niesten	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.02.21	Cameron Norrie - Rafael Nadal	0:3 ✺
11.02.21	Cameron Norrie - Roman Safiullin	3:1 ✺
09.02.21	Daniel Evans - Cameron Norrie	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWW

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