Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad (Sweden), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 July 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bastad (Sweden) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	16:35	Max Sport 2
Croatia	15:35	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 5
Finland	16:35	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	15:35	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	15:35	Ziggo Sport 5
Portugal	14:35	Sport TV6
Slovenia	15:35	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 4, SportKlub 5, SportKlub 6


	Cameron Norrie		Rafael Nadal

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.59	1.56
	2.42	1.59	Watch
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.54	Watch
	2.47	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.52)	1.54 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cameron Norrie
38.1%

Rafael Nadal
61.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.3%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cameron Norrie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Rafael Nadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.9%	0%	81.1%

Cameron Norrie - Rafael Nadal Predictions

Users Predictions: Rafael Nadal will win (29 of 36 users predict this - 80.56%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.63% – 93.49%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Norrie is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Norrie could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nadal will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Norrie won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cameron Norrie
ATP Bastad
15.07.24	Cameron Norrie - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.24	Cameron Norrie - Alexander Zverev	0:3 ✺
04.07.24	Jack Draper - Cameron Norrie	0:3 ✺
02.07.24	Cameron Norrie - Facundo Diaz Acosta	3:0 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
25.06.24	Cameron Norrie - Emil Ruusuvuori	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWL
- Rafael Nadal
ATP Bastad
16.07.24	Rafael Nadal - Leo Borg	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.24	Alexander Zverev - Rafael Nadal	3:0 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Rafael Nadal	2:0 ✺
09.05.24	Zizou Bergs - Rafael Nadal	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
30.04.24	Rafael Nadal - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP United Cup
30.12.22	Rafael Nadal - Cameron Norrie	1:2
ATP Acapulco
26.02.22	Rafael Nadal - Cameron Norrie	2:0
ATP Roland Garros
05.06.21	Rafael Nadal - Cameron Norrie	3:0
ATP Barcelona
23.04.21	Rafael Nadal - Cameron Norrie	2:0
ATP Australian Open
13.02.21	Cameron Norrie - Rafael Nadal	0:3

Cameron Norrie - Rafael Nadal