Match Info

Date: 2 May 2022, Monday


	Nikoloz Basilashvili		Fabio Fognini

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.34	1.55
	2.46	1.62
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.34	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.77)	1.57 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikoloz Basilashvili
39.4%

Fabio Fognini
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

71.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nikoloz Basilashvili's performance.

Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fabio Fognini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nikoloz Basilashvili that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fabio Fognini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Fabio Fognini Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Basilashvili will win (votes: 27 - 75%). Fognini will win (votes: 9 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basilashvili: 60.9% – 89.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Basilashvili is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fognini is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Basilashvili could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fognini is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Basilashvili won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Munich
29.04.22	Miomir Kecmanovic - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
27.04.22	Ilya Ivashka - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
20.04.22	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.22	Grigor Dimitrov - Nikoloz Basilashvili	Basilashvili N. retired ✺
ATP Miami
26.03.22	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Jenson Brooksby	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWL?L
- Fabio Fognini
ATP Belgrade
23.04.22	Fabio Fognini - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
22.04.22	Fabio Fognini - Oscar Otte	2:0 ✺
21.04.22	Fabio Fognini - Aljaz Bedene	2:0 ✺
18.04.22	Fabio Fognini - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.22	Fabio Fognini - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
12.03.22	Fabio Fognini - Nikoloz Basilashvili	Basilashvili N. walkover
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.21	Fabio Fognini - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Fabio Fognini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide