Match Info

Date: 7 April 2021, Wednesday


	Nikoloz Basilashvili		Jozef Kovalik

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.79	2.04	Watch
	1.77	1.98
	1.85	2.07
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.81	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.92)	2.02 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikoloz Basilashvili
52.8%

Jozef Kovalik
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Jozef Kovalik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nikoloz Basilashvili that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jozef Kovalik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.3%	0%	15.7%

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Jozef Kovalik Predictions

Users Predictions: Nikoloz Basilashvili will win (70 of 83 users predict this - 84.34%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.52% – 92.16%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two players.

Basilashvili could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kovalik won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Miami
26.03.21	Mikael Ymer - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
16.03.21	Taylor Harry Fritz - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:1 ✺
ATP Doha
13.03.21	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
12.03.21	Taylor Harry Fritz - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
11.03.21	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Roger Federer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 LLWWW
- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Cagliari
06.04.21	Sumit Nagal - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
05.04.21	Jozef Kovalik - Matteo Viola	2:1 ✺
04.04.21	Jozef Kovalik - Malek Jaziri	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.03.21	Nicolas Kicker - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
09.03.21	Jozef Kovalik - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.05.16	Jozef Kovalik - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Jozef Kovalik: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide