Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Quimper, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Quimper 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Nikoloz Basilashvili		Yanis Ghazouani Durand

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Nikoloz Basilashvili
69.2%

Yanis Ghazouani Durand
30.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

78.1%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikoloz Basilashvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nikoloz Basilashvili's form might have worsened.

Yanis Ghazouani Durand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yanis Ghazouani Durand's recent form is better than expected.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Basilashvili (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 105. Ghazouani Durand is ranked ATP: 757.

Ghazouani Durand has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ghazouani Durand may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Basilashvili is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Australian Open
11.01.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
02.01.26	Christopher OConnell - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
ATP Brussels
16.10.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Basilashvili N. retired ✺
15.10.25	Quentin Halys - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LL?WW
- Yanis Ghazouani Durand
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.01.26	Cannon Kingsley - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:1 ✺
08.01.26	Moise Kouame - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:1 ✺
07.01.26	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Oleg Prihodko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWLLW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Vienna
29.10.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	✺

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Yanis Ghazouani Durand