Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Nikoloz Basilashvili		Gonzalo Bueno

	1	2
	1.18	4.5	Watch
	1.19	4.2
	1.2	4.28	Watch
	1.2	4.33
	1.23	4.26	Watch
	1.17	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.23)	4.35 ↑ (3.92)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikoloz Basilashvili
78.4%

Gonzalo Bueno
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.1%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Gonzalo Bueno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Gonzalo Bueno Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Basilashvili will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Bueno will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basilashvili: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Bueno (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nikoloz Basilashvili will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Basilashvili (votes: 3 - 60%). Bueno (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 107. Bueno is ranked ATP: 214.

Basilashvili may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Basilashvili is the clear favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Brisbane
02.01.26	Christopher OConnell - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
ATP Brussels
16.10.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Basilashvili N. retired ✺
15.10.25	Quentin Halys - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alessio Basile	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 L?WWW
- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
20.11.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Federico Aguilar Cardozo	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Carlos Taberner - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLLW

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Gonzalo Bueno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide