Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Bydgoszcz, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 August 2025, Wednesday


	Nina Vargova		Weronika Ewald

	1	2
	1.91	1.75
	1.76	1.95
	1.98	1.76
	4.32	1.17	Watch
	2	1.73
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (1.8)	1.67 ↓ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nina Vargova
41.1%

Weronika Ewald
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nina Vargova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nina Vargova's form might have worsened.

Weronika Ewald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Weronika Ewald's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nina Vargova than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nina Vargova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weronika Ewald than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Weronika Ewald, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nina Vargova - Weronika Ewald Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vargova is ranked WTA: 395. Ewald is ranked WTA: 536.

Vargova is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ewald's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vargova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Nina Vargova - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.22%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nina Vargova
ITF Tournaments
23.07.25	Sohyun Park - Nina Vargova	2:1 ✺
16.07.25	Nina Vargova - Marie Vogt	1:2 ✺
09.07.25	Ylena In-Albon - Nina Vargova	2:1 ✺
02.07.25	Nina Vargova - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
26.06.25	Nina Vargova - Diana Simionescu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Weronika Ewald
ITF Tournaments
06.08.25	Tamara Korpatsch - Weronika Ewald	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Weronika Ewald - Amarissa Kiara Toth	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.07.25	Mai Hontama - Weronika Ewald	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.07.25	Arianna Zucchini - Weronika Ewald	2:0 ✺
28.06.25	Weronika Ewald - Cristina Diaz Adrover	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLLL

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