Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bielsko Biala, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday


	Noel Larwig		Kacper Knitter

	1	2
	1.57	2.20
	1.63	2.14
	1.67	2.24
	1.6	2.17	Watch
	1.64	2.21
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.56	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.78)	2.19 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noel Larwig
57.6%

Kacper Knitter
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noel Larwig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Noel Larwig's performance.

Kacper Knitter has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kacper Knitter might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noel Larwig than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Noel Larwig that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kacper Knitter than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kacper Knitter could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Noel Larwig - Kacper Knitter Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Larwig is ranked ATP: 1260. Knitter is ranked ATP: 1312.

Both players are struggling and far from their best.

Larwig may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Noel Larwig
ITF Tournaments
30.07.26	Alan Wazny - Noel Larwig	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Noel Larwig - Bruno Kokot	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Noel Larwig - Noah Schlagenhauf	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.07.26	Samuele Pieri - Noel Larwig	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.07.26	Veljko Krstic - Noel Larwig	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL
- Kacper Knitter
ITF Tournaments
29.07.26	Massimo Pizzigoni - Kacper Knitter	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Jakub Jedrzejczak - Kacper Knitter	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Kacper Knitter - Karol Filar	0:2 ✺
06.06.26	Ruslan Tiukaev - Kacper Knitter	Knitter K. Retired ✺
05.06.26	Kacper Knitter - Adam Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLL?W

Noel Larwig - Kacper Knitter: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide