Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Ortisei, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 November 2025, Monday


	Noemi Basiletti		Eva Guerrero Alvarez

	1	2
			Watch
	2.6	1.44
	2.88	1.34	Watch
	2.69	1.41	Watch
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.88)	1.4 ↑ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noemi Basiletti
33.9%

Eva Guerrero Alvarez
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noemi Basiletti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Eva Guerrero Alvarez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noemi Basiletti than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Noemi Basiletti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eva Guerrero Alvarez than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eva Guerrero Alvarez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Noemi Basiletti - Eva Guerrero Alvarez Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Basiletti (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Basiletti is ranked WTA: 452. Guerrero Alvarez is ranked WTA: 283.

Basiletti has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Guerrero Alvarez has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guerrero Alvarez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Guerrero Alvarez is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Noemi Basiletti
ITF Tournaments
30.10.25	Yeon Woo Ku - Noemi Basiletti	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Noemi Basiletti - Briana Szabo	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.10.25	Darja Semenistaja - Noemi Basiletti	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.10.25	Noemi Basiletti - Julie Pastikova	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Katharina Hobgarski - Noemi Basiletti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL
- Eva Guerrero Alvarez
ITF Tournaments
15.11.25	Lea Nilsson - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	2:0 ✺
14.11.25	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Mina Hodzic	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Briana Szabo	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Tiphanie Lemaitre	2:0 ✺
06.11.25	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Britt Du Pree	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWWL

Noemi Basiletti - Eva Guerrero Alvarez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide