Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Funchal, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Lea Nilsson		Eva Guerrero Alvarez

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	1.99	1.79
	2.70	1.39	Watch
	1.97	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.7)	1.67 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lea Nilsson
43.6%

Eva Guerrero Alvarez
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

68.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lea Nilsson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lea Nilsson's performance.

Eva Guerrero Alvarez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eva Guerrero Alvarez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lea Nilsson than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lea Nilsson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eva Guerrero Alvarez than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eva Guerrero Alvarez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lea Nilsson - Eva Guerrero Alvarez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nilsson is ranked WTA: 985. Guerrero Alvarez is ranked WTA: 294.

Nilsson has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guerrero Alvarez is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Guerrero Alvarez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Guerrero Alvarez might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Guerrero Alvarez will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lea Nilsson
ITF Tournaments
14.11.25	Lea Nilsson - Eva Bennemann	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Caroline Werner - Lea Nilsson	Werner C. retired ✺
04.11.25	Lea Nilsson - Haruka Kaji	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Lea Nilsson - Andre Lukosiute	1:2 ✺
30.10.25	Lea Nilsson - Victoria Pohle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 W?LLW
- Eva Guerrero Alvarez
ITF Tournaments
14.11.25	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Mina Hodzic	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Briana Szabo	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Tiphanie Lemaitre	2:0 ✺
06.11.25	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Britt Du Pree	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Anastasiya Soboleva - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLW

Lea Nilsson - Eva Guerrero Alvarez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide