Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Ljubljana, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday


	Noemi Basiletti		Julie Struplova

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.85	1.90
	1.71	2.03	Watch
	1.75	1.99	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.74	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.85)	2.02 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noemi Basiletti
53.8%

Julie Struplova
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noemi Basiletti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Julie Struplova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noemi Basiletti than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Noemi Basiletti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Julie Struplova than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Julie Struplova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Noemi Basiletti - Julie Struplova Predictions

Users Predictions: Noemi Basiletti will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Basiletti is ranked WTA: 277. Struplova is ranked WTA: 224.

Basiletti is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Struplova is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Struplova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Basiletti will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Noemi Basiletti - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Julie Struplova - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Noemi Basiletti
ATP Challenger
14.09.26	Lola Radivojevic - Noemi Basiletti	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.08.26	Barbora Palicova - Noemi Basiletti	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Loes Ebeling Koning - Noemi Basiletti	0:2 ✺
07.08.26	Martha Matoula - Noemi Basiletti	1:2 ✺
05.08.26	Noemi Basiletti - Jenny Lim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWW
- Julie Struplova
ATP Challenger
14.09.26	Polona Hercog - Julie Struplova	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Julie Struplova - Alevtina Ibragimova	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
24.08.26	Polina Iatcenko - Julie Struplova	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.08.26	Julie Struplova - Sonja Zhiyenbayeva	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.07.26	Alice Rame - Julie Struplova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLLL

Noemi Basiletti - Julie Struplova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide