Match Info
ATP - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/8-finalsDate: 15 July 2026, Wednesday
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Nuno Borges |
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Grigor Dimitrov |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 22.50
- The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nuno Borges 64.4% | Grigor Dimitrov 35.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nuno Borges's performance.Grigor Dimitrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grigor Dimitrov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-13.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nuno Borges that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (+13.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grigor Dimitrov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Nuno Borges - Grigor Dimitrov Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Borges will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Dimitrov will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1.5 Sets - Dimitrov (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2.5 Games - Borges (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Borges (votes: 1 - 50%). Dimitrov (votes: 1 - 50%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Borges is ranked ATP: 52. Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 146.Borges has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).Dimitrov is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Dimitrov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Borges will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Borges won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Nuno Borges - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;