The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Grigor Dimitrov 41%
Matteo Berrettini 59%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
57.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.5%
50.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grigor Dimitrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grigor Dimitrov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matteo Berrettini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13.9%
0%
86.1%
Grigor Dimitrov - Matteo Berrettini Predictions
Users Predictions:
Matteo Berrettini will win
(31 of 36 users predict this - 86.11%). Confidence interval (95%): 74.81% – 97.41%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Matteo Berrettini will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3
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Preview
Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 146.Berrettini is ranked ATP: 51.
Dimitrov is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Berrettini is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Dimitrov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
We predict that Berrettini will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dimitrov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Matteo Berrettini - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 57.61%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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