Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 July 2026, Tuesday


	Dalibor Svrcina		Grigor Dimitrov

	1	2
	2.50	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.43	1.56	Watch
	2.40	1.68
	2.54	1.48	Watch
	2.17	1.68	Watch
	2.51	1.54	Watch
	2.30	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.75)	1.57 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalibor Svrcina
39.6%

Grigor Dimitrov
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalibor Svrcina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dalibor Svrcina's performance.

Grigor Dimitrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grigor Dimitrov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Dalibor Svrcina - Grigor Dimitrov Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Svrcina will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Dimitrov will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dimitrov: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dimitrov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Svrcina is ranked ATP: 112. Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 146.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Dimitrov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dimitrov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Challenger
08.07.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Learner Tien	1:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.06.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Gustavo Heide	1:2 ✺
18.06.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLW
- Grigor Dimitrov
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Arthur Fery	2:3 ✺
04.07.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Matteo Berrettini	3:2 ✺
02.07.26	Jakub Mensik - Grigor Dimitrov	1:3 ✺
30.06.26	Dane Sweeny - Grigor Dimitrov	0:3 ✺
ATP Mallorca
25.06.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWWL

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