Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: FRENCH OPEN (FRANCE) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 23 May 2023, Tuesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Nuria Brancaccio		Katie Boulter

	1	2
			Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.67	2.16
	1.65	2.14
	1.73	2.16
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.61	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.47)	2.17 ↓ (2.51)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuria Brancaccio
56.9%

Katie Boulter
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuria Brancaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nuria Brancaccio's form might have worsened.

Katie Boulter has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Katie Boulter's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuria Brancaccio than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nuria Brancaccio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katie Boulter than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Katie Boulter, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Nuria Brancaccio - Katie Boulter Predictions

Users Predictions: Nuria Brancaccio will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Brancaccio is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Boulter is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Boulter could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuria Brancaccio
ATP Challenger
18.05.23	Matilde Paoletti - Nuria Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
17.05.23	Heather Watson - Nuria Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
WTA Roma
10.05.23	Nuria Brancaccio - Julia Grabher	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.05.23	Nuria Brancaccio - Rebecca Sramkova	0:2 ✺
02.05.23	Nuria Brancaccio - Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLLW
- Katie Boulter
ITF Tournaments
13.05.23	Katie Boulter - Natsumi Kawaguchi	Kawaguchi N. walkover ✺
12.05.23	Katie Boulter - Emina Bektas	2:1 ✺
11.05.23	Katie Boulter - En Shuo Liang	2:1 ✺
10.05.23	Katie Boulter - Eri Shimizu	2:0 ✺
09.05.23	Katie Boulter - Mei Yamaguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?WWWW

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