Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 4, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 April 2025, Thursday


	Nuria Brancaccio		Lilli Tagger

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.2
	1.68	2.09
	1.74	2.02	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.7	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.09)	2.07 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuria Brancaccio
55.1%

Lilli Tagger
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuria Brancaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nuria Brancaccio's performance.

Lilli Tagger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lilli Tagger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuria Brancaccio than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nuria Brancaccio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lilli Tagger than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lilli Tagger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nuria Brancaccio - Lilli Tagger Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Brancaccio is ranked WTA: 200. Tagger is ranked WTA: 567.

Recent matches Brancaccio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tagger in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Tagger could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuria Brancaccio
ITF Tournaments
23.04.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Beatrice Ricci	2:1 ✺
WTA Rouen
16.04.25	Moyuka Uchijima - Nuria Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Camilla Rosatello	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Nahia Berecoechea	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.04.25	Eva Lys - Nuria Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLWL
- Lilli Tagger
ITF Tournaments
23.04.25	Yaroslava Bartashevich - Lilli Tagger	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Lilli Tagger - Lois Boisson	2:0 ✺
28.03.25	Hannah Klugman - Lilli Tagger	1:2 ✺
27.03.25	Lilli Tagger - Alice Rame	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Lilli Tagger - Ylena In-Albon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWW

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