Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 4, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Santa Margherita di Pula 4 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Yaroslava Bartashevich		Lilli Tagger

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Yaroslava Bartashevich
30.6%

Lilli Tagger
69.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

70.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yaroslava Bartashevich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Lilli Tagger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yaroslava Bartashevich than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lilli Tagger than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Bartashevich is ranked WTA: 487. Tagger is ranked WTA: 567.

Bartashevich has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tagger is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bartashevich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tagger is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Tagger to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yaroslava Bartashevich
ITF Tournaments
18.04.25	Katharina Hobgarski - Yaroslava Bartashevich	2:0 ✺
08.04.25	Yaroslava Bartashevich - Ikumi Yamazaki	1:2 ✺
25.03.25	Ana Sofia Sanchez - Yaroslava Bartashevich	2:1 ✺
18.03.25	Yaroslava Bartashevich - Anastasia Tikhonova	0:2 ✺
06.03.25	Yuriko Lily Miyazaki - Yaroslava Bartashevich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Lilli Tagger
ITF Tournaments
29.03.25	Lilli Tagger - Lois Boisson	2:0 ✺
28.03.25	Hannah Klugman - Lilli Tagger	1:2 ✺
27.03.25	Lilli Tagger - Alice Rame	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Lilli Tagger - Ylena In-Albon	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
16.03.25	Lilli Tagger - Sara Sorribes Tormo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWL

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

Yaroslava Bartashevich - Lilli Tagger