Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Oceane Dodin		Heather Watson

	1	2
			Watch
	2	1.75
	2.1	1.74
	2.1	1.75
	2	1.73
	2.03	1.73	Watch
	2	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.72)	1.75 ↓ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oceane Dodin
46.2%

Heather Watson
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oceane Dodin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oceane Dodin's form might have worsened.

Heather Watson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heather Watson's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oceane Dodin than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oceane Dodin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heather Watson than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Heather Watson, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Oceane Dodin - Heather Watson Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Dodin will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Watson will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watson: 40% – 93.4%.

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Preview

Recent matches Dodin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Watson is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dodin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dodin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oceane Dodin
ATP Challenger
14.03.24	Oceane Dodin - Diana Shnaider	0:2 ✺
13.03.24	Martina Trevisan - Oceane Dodin	1:2 ✺
12.03.24	Madison Sieg - Oceane Dodin	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
09.03.24	Oceane Dodin - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
07.03.24	Elina Avanesyan - Oceane Dodin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWLW
- Heather Watson
ATP Challenger
10.03.24	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Heather Watson	Canceled ✺
10.03.24	Taylah Preston - Heather Watson	2:1 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
03.03.24	Heather Watson - Rebeka Masarova	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.02.24	Lulu Sun - Heather Watson	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Antonia Ruzic - Heather Watson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 ?LLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roland Garros
28.05.18	Heather Watson - Oceane Dodin	2:0

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