Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zadar (Croatia) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Zadar (Croatia) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Oleksandr Ovcharenko		Alex Molcan

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Oleksandr Ovcharenko
47.2%

Alex Molcan
52.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksandr Ovcharenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oleksandr Ovcharenko's form might have worsened.

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex Molcan's recent form is better than expected.

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ovcharenko will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Molcan will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Ovcharenko is ranked ATP: 306. Molcan is ranked ATP: 590.

Recent matches Ovcharenko is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Molcan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oleksandr Ovcharenko
ATP Challenger
16.02.25	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Petr Bar-Biryukov	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Egor Agafonov - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
07.02.25	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
06.02.25	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Alexey Zakharov	2:1 ✺
04.02.25	Zsombor Piros - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLLWW
- Alex Molcan
ITF Tournaments
06.03.25	Harry Wendelken - Alex Molcan	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.11.24	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Alex Molcan	Molcan A. retired ✺
13.10.24	Alex Molcan - Milos Karol	Molcan A. retired ✺
07.10.24	Raul Brancaccio - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Blaz Rola - Alex Molcan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 L??LW

Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Alex Molcan