Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Pitesti, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday


	Oleksandr Ovcharenko		Franco Roncadelli

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.35
			Watch
	1.53	2.44
	1.55	2.32	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.59	2.24	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.85)	2.26 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksandr Ovcharenko
58.7%

Franco Roncadelli
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksandr Ovcharenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oleksandr Ovcharenko's performance.

Franco Roncadelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Franco Roncadelli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Franco Roncadelli than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Franco Roncadelli Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Ovcharenko (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ovcharenko (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ovcharenko is ranked ATP: 380. Roncadelli is ranked ATP: 392.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Ovcharenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Oleksandr Ovcharenko - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Franco Roncadelli - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oleksandr Ovcharenko
ITF Tournaments
01.08.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
31.07.25	Leonardo Angeloni - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Lorenzo Rottoli - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Radu Mihai Papoe - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Mihai Alexandru Coman - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLW
- Franco Roncadelli
ITF Tournaments
01.08.25	Franco Roncadelli - Mihai Razvan Marinescu	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Franco Roncadelli - Ilya Snitari	2:1 ✺
31.07.25	Franco Roncadelli - Leonardo Cattaneo	2:1 ✺
27.07.25	Franco Roncadelli - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
26.07.25	Franco Roncadelli - Igor Marcondes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLW

Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Franco Roncadelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide