Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Lausanne, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday


	Oleksandr Ovcharenko		Henry Bernet

	1	2
			Watch
	2.90	1.34
	3.25	1.29
	3.04	1.39
	2.9	1.35	Watch
	3.00	1.37
	2.89	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.53)	1.35 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksandr Ovcharenko
31%

Henry Bernet
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

68.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksandr Ovcharenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oleksandr Ovcharenko's form might have worsened.

Henry Bernet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Henry Bernet's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henry Bernet than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Henry Bernet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ovcharenko is ranked ATP: 623. Bernet is ranked ATP: 423.

Ovcharenko is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bernet has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bernet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bernet is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oleksandr Ovcharenko
ITF Tournaments
27.08.26	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Felix Seres	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Arthur Laborde	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Benjamin Hassan - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	Dimitris Sakellaridis - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	Petros Tsitsipas - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWW
- Henry Bernet
ITF Tournaments
27.08.26	Blu Baker - Henry Bernet	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Marko Maric - Henry Bernet	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Henry Bernet	2:1 ✺
18.08.26	Johan Nikles - Henry Bernet	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Juan Bautista Torres - Henry Bernet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLWL

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