Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maribor 2 (Slovenia), clay - Final

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday


	Oleksandr Ovcharenko		Mili Poljicak

	1	2
	1.65	2.05
	1.65	2.07
	1.66	2.17
	1.76	1.96	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.76	1.97	Watch
	1.65	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.83)	2.02 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksandr Ovcharenko
54.1%

Mili Poljicak
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksandr Ovcharenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Mili Poljicak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oleksandr Ovcharenko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mili Poljicak than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mili Poljicak could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Mili Poljicak Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ovcharenko is ranked ATP: 473. Poljicak is ranked ATP: 477.

Ovcharenko is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Poljicak is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Poljicak could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Mili Poljicak - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 49.8%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oleksandr Ovcharenko
ITF Tournaments
24.08.24	Toby Alex Kodat - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
23.08.24	Dominik Kellovsky - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
22.08.24	Nikita Bilozertsev - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
21.08.24	Filip Jeff Planinsek - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
15.08.24	Blaz Rola - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWL
- Mili Poljicak
ITF Tournaments
24.08.24	Mili Poljicak - Jonas Forejtek	2:0 ✺
23.08.24	Mili Poljicak - Florian Broska	2:0 ✺
22.08.24	Mili Poljicak - Adrian Bodmer	2:0 ✺
21.08.24	Mili Poljicak - Sasa Markovic	2:1 ✺
18.08.24	Filip Jeff Planinsek - Mili Poljicak	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWW

Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Mili Poljicak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide