Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 9 (Italy), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday


	Oleksandr Ovcharenko		Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

	1	2
	1.53	2.3
	1.57	2.2
	1.59	2.31
	1.58	2.23	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.59	2.24	Watch
	1.57	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.84)	2.25 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksandr Ovcharenko
58.8%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksandr Ovcharenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oleksandr Ovcharenko's performance.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oleksandr Ovcharenko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolai Budkov Kjaer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ovcharenko is ranked ATP: 418. Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 735.

Now both players are in good shape.

Budkov Kjaer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ovcharenko will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Oleksandr Ovcharenko - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 49.95%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oleksandr Ovcharenko
ITF Tournaments
03.10.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:1 ✺
02.10.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Daniele Rapagnetta	2:0 ✺
01.10.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Kasra Rahmani	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Oleksii Krutykh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWLW
- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ITF Tournaments
03.10.24	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Oleksii Krutykh	2:0 ✺
02.10.24	Kimmer Coppejans - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
01.10.24	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Michele Ribecai	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.09.24	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Artem Dubrivnyy	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
14.09.24	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Henrique Rocha	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWL?

Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide