Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Oleksandr Ovcharenko		Pietro Orlando Fellin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.9	1.75	Watch
	1.85	1.94
	1.84	1.86	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.81	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.09)	1.87 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksandr Ovcharenko
50.4%

Pietro Orlando Fellin
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksandr Ovcharenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oleksandr Ovcharenko's performance.

Pietro Orlando Fellin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pietro Orlando Fellin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pietro Orlando Fellin than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Pietro Orlando Fellin Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Ovcharenko (2.74) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Users Predictions: Oleksandr Ovcharenko will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Oleksandr Ovcharenko will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Ovcharenko (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Fellin (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ovcharenko is ranked ATP: 539. Fellin is ranked ATP: 464.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Fellin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Pietro Orlando Fellin - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.88%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oleksandr Ovcharenko
ATP Challenger
22.02.26	Gabriele Piraino - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.01.26	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Tomasz Berkieta	0:2 ✺
30.01.26	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Keisuke Saitoh	2:0 ✺
29.01.26	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Geun Jun Kim	2:0 ✺
29.01.26	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Yuto Oki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWW
- Pietro Orlando Fellin
ITF Tournaments
26.02.26	Guillaume Dalmasso - Pietro Orlando Fellin	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Juan Fuentes Vasquez - Pietro Orlando Fellin	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Juan Sebastian Dominguez Collado - Pietro Orlando Fellin	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.02.26	Pietro Orlando Fellin - Raul Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
04.02.26	Pietro Orlando Fellin - Svyatoslav Gulin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLW

Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Pietro Orlando Fellin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide