Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Tolentino, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 September 2025, Thursday


	Oleksandra Oliynykova		Darja Semenistaja

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.01	1.71	Watch
	2	1.82
	1.85	1.89	Watch
	1.99	1.75	Watch
	2.09	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.36)	1.76 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksandra Oliynykova
46.9%

Darja Semenistaja
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksandra Oliynykova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oleksandra Oliynykova's performance.

Darja Semenistaja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Darja Semenistaja might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandra Oliynykova than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oleksandra Oliynykova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darja Semenistaja than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darja Semenistaja could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oleksandra Oliynykova - Darja Semenistaja Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Oliynykova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Oliynykova is ranked WTA: 163. Semenistaja is ranked WTA: 106.

In recent matches, Oliynykova has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Semenistaja is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Semenistaja may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Semenistaja is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Semenistaja will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oliynykova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oleksandra Oliynykova
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Federica Urgesi	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Mona Barthel - Oleksandra Oliynykova	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Teodora Kostovic - Oleksandra Oliynykova	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Tamara Zidansek	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Darja Semenistaja - Oleksandra Oliynykova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWL
- Darja Semenistaja
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Tina Nadine Smith - Darja Semenistaja	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Darja Semenistaja - Anouk Koevermans	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Carson Branstine - Darja Semenistaja	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Irene Burillo Escorihuela - Darja Semenistaja	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales - Darja Semenistaja	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.09.25	Darja Semenistaja - Oleksandra Oliynykova	2:1

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